Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.047146 0.055468 0.064775 0.075945 0.088983 0.103715 0.121620
2025-07-20 0.034465 0.045284 0.058714 0.076583 0.099707 0.128597 0.167417
2025-07-27 0.027110 0.038799 0.054528 0.077178 0.108896 0.151671 0.213686
2025-08-03 0.022437 0.034465 0.051764 0.078349 0.118062 0.175065 0.262977
2025-08-10 0.019402 0.031685 0.050397 0.080810 0.128834 0.201541 0.319750
2025-08-17 0.015955 0.027551 0.046163 0.077994 0.130842 0.214797 0.357928
2025-08-24 0.013747 0.024975 0.043872 0.077713 0.136504 0.234036 0.407570
2025-08-31 0.011838 0.022550 0.041394 0.076617 0.140438 0.250643 0.454614
2025-09-07 0.010670 0.021236 0.040598 0.078250 0.149161 0.276203 0.519990
2025-09-14 0.009368 0.019447 0.038652 0.077437 0.153229 0.293859 0.573157
2025-09-21 0.008135 0.017586 0.036282 0.075431 0.154685 0.306739 0.618778
2025-09-28 0.007046 0.015835 0.033864 0.072951 0.154801 0.316941 0.660253
2025-10-05 0.006465 0.015091 0.033415 0.074502 0.163400 0.345017 0.741332
2025-10-12 0.005858 0.014192 0.032517 0.074986 0.169863 0.369631 0.818571
2025-10-19 0.005332 0.013391 0.031710 0.075540 0.176523 0.395403 0.901377
2025-10-26 0.004909 0.012765 0.031201 0.076681 0.184606 0.425109 0.996273
2025-11-02 0.004613 0.012400 0.031238 0.079090 0.195881 0.463099 1.114181
2025-11-09 0.004046 0.011254 0.029245 0.076332 0.194610 0.472614 1.167915
2025-11-16 0.003683 0.010579 0.028313 0.076056 0.199292 0.496402 1.258030
2025-11-23 0.003321 0.009849 0.027134 0.074983 0.201831 0.515364 1.338716
2025-11-30 0.003119 0.009533 0.026986 0.076582 0.211396 0.552484 1.468654
2025-12-07 0.002836 0.008935 0.026000 0.075786 0.214571 0.574038 1.561719
2025-12-14 0.002539 0.008246 0.024661 0.073822 0.214343 0.586878 1.633737